Single-family, re-sales home sales were up 2.5% last year in San Diego County.

Unfortunately, after a nice gain of 7.1% in 2010, the median price was down last year. The median price for homes dropped 5.3%. The average price dropped 3%.

Condo sales in the county were down 5.7% compared to 2010.

The median price for condos dropped 6.8%.

THE CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
expects the median home price to increase 1.7% in 2012. They forecast sales to increase by 1%.

“2012 will be another transition year for the California housing market, as the continued uncertainty about the U.S. financial system, job growth, and the stability of the overall economy remain,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young. “An improvement in job growth, consumer spending, and corresponding gains in housing are essential to a broader recovery in the economy, but would-be buyers will remain cautious as they weigh these myriad uncertainties against the clear opportunities presented by today’s very affordable housing market.

“The most likely scenario is for the modest recovery to continue, and this should push sales up slightly next year by 1 percent and maintain levels that are significantly higher than those recorded during the depths of the housing downturn,” said Appleton-Young.

MARKET STATISTICS
Sales of single-family, re-sale homes were up 8.3% year-over-year in December. This is the sixth month in a row home sales have been higher than the year before.

Condo sales were up 25% year-over-year.

The median price for homes was down 5.3% year-over-year.

The median price for condos rose 2.5% year-over-year.

Inventory of both homes and condos continues to be weak. Home inventory was down 14.7% compared to last December.

Condo inventory was down 29.4% year-over-year.

Pending home sales grew by 9.7% year-over-year. That’s thirteen months in a row pending sales have been higher than the year before.

Pending condo sales were down 14.1% compared to last November.

For trend charts and full graphical information, visit http://denniskaiser.rereport.com

Wouldn’t it be great if all choices were easy? Choice A is good, choice B is bad, so we would pick choice A. But what do you do when both choices are bad? This video offers some help.

I’m often asked, “What is the best real estate invesment in San Diego for cash flow?” This video will answer that questions for you!

Factory-built homes are constructed off site and transported to a home site and installed on a state approved foundation or support system. California law clearly distinguished among the types of factory produced homes by the building code to which the home must comply.

Mobile Homes

Mobile homes were constructed to comply with California standards prior to June 15, 1975, when the the federal preemptive HUD code became effective. Even though there are a significant number of mobile homes in the existing housing stock, no new mobile homes have been constructed since that date.

Manufactured Homes

Manufactured homes are constructed to comply with the National Manufactured Home Construction and Safety Standards (24 CFR 3280), a uniform federal building code administered by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). Most factory homes currently constructed in California meet this HUD code. These are less expensive than modular homes because they can be manufactured efficiently and transported to any state without worrying about local building codes.

Modular Homes

Modular homes are constructed to comply with the California Uniform Building Code (UBC) which is incorporated into law at Title 25, Chapter 3 of the California Administrative Code. This is the same building code that all site built construction conforms to. There is no difference between modular and site built, sometimes called “stick built” construction. The advantage is that banks will lend on modular homes the same as site built. The disadvantage is that you must have complete plans drawn and approved by the city or county just like any other custom home.

If a factory-built home is something you’d like to consider, give me a call at 760-889-2272 and we can talk about your options.

Well that depends – are you thinking about buying, selling, investing, or renting? I’ll answer that question in a minute, but first let me bring you up to date.

Crystal and I now work with Coastal Inland Properties, a small boutique real estate firm in Carlsbad. Our old RE/MAX broker gave up the franchise and so that gave us the kick we needed to join a company where we can market ourselves as a team.

We’ve moved several times in the past year, and we’ve learned some valuable lessons about downsizing and letting go. Most people have trouble giving something up even to gain something better, but it really is just a mental game and we know how to play it. The tendency is to get “stuck” in a certain way and let life shoot its arrows at you. I recommend you take inspired action towards you goals and not let inertia hold you back. Someday you may find yourself faced with having to choose between several bad options, and the tendency will be to stay frozen in place. But as you do nothing your options will disappear until only one is left, and that is usually the worst one.

With our last child out of college and living on her own, we are now free to concentrate on our own retirement accounts. A little late in the game, but we are moving forward. Of course the destruction of value in many of our real estate investments has caused us to rewrite the plan, but that is better than having no plan. How about you? What’s your plan?

Now let’s talk about the market.

If you’re thinking about selling, prices have been stable this past year, but it’s still a buyer’s market. That means this is not a time to be mediocre – you must be excellent with your marketing, condition, and price.  We now utilize every tool known to man for marketing property. Our sellers get exposure in all real estate websites, such as Craigslist, Zillow, Trulia, and many more. They get professional photography and copywriting that hits home seekers’ hot buttons and makes them want to see the home. “Cute 3 bedroom” is so last century and doesn’t work in this competitive market.

If you’re thinking about buying, it’s a great time to go shopping! Pricing is softer in the upper-end price ranges than at the entry level, but there is still flexibility in most prices. However, even though interest rates are at record lows, many people can’t qualify for a loan as lending guidelines get tougher all the time.  So our job is to make sure our buyers have rock-solid loan commitments before going house hunting so there are no big disappointments. There’s nothing worse than losing your dream home because of a bank screw-up. So once again, this is not the time to have a friend “write up the offer for you”. You must have excellent representation and we will put our 22 years experience to work in helping you navigate the bank minefield. 

If you’re interested in investing, people today no longer invest in the hopes of appreciation, but instead are looking for cash flow. And San Diego still remains one of the worst places for cash flow. The best cash flow in the county today is in the senior communities, where you can buy a half-duplex with no homeowner fees for around $150K and rent it to tenants 55 years of age or older for $1200 a month. This happens all the time right here in Oceanside.

Frequently I get the “what about REOs?” question, so here’s the scoop. Banks sell their properties on the open market at market value. Whether it is a REO or a short sale, it is not a bargain since they will only sell at what their appraiser says is market value. They will not sell it to you at 60 or 70 cents on the dollar. The only way investors are making money with distressed properties today is by buying them at the trustee sale. This is an enormously labor intensive business that requires investigating 100 defaulted properties to bid on 10 to buy 1.

And finally, what about renting? That is a good option for some, depending on the situation. Renting is less of a commitment than buying, so if you are uncertain about the next few years, renting is better. We have some clients who always wanted to live near the beach but didn’t know if they would like the crowds and the fog, so they rented there for a year. Why not? Home prices are not going up, so they can take their time and explore different options before committing to one.

But if you know what you want and expect to stay put for awhile, it makes sense to buy at today’s prices. There is a guideline in financial planning called the “rule of 15” to determine whether it makes more sense to rent or to buy. If home prices are less than 15 times annual rent, it makes sense to buy. So let’s say you would pay $2000 a month rent for a 3 bedroom house. $2000 times 12 = $24000 times 15 = $360K. That means if you could buy that house for less than $360K you would be better off buying. This is exactly what the prices are in Oceanside or Vista, where yes, today it does make more sense to buy rather than to rent.

So who do you know who is interested in buying, selling, investing or renting? As always, we are offering our best-reasoned, expert advice to you or anyone you know at no cost or obligation. Just let us know how we can best serve you, now or in the future.

This book is especially written for those over 55 years old, because seniors have special circumstances which makes some of the strategies possible. It’s also very important to make the right moves because as we get older, because we don’t have time to recover from a serious fiancial mistake.

The e-book is available as a free download on my website http://www.seniorsandiego.com/.

When Crystal and I first moved to Idyllwild we stored a bunch of stuff that we knew we wouldn’t need in the mountains, but we thought we’d need when we got back. And it was only going to be for a few months anyway. Well, sixteen months later, we got to see what we paid $310 per month to keep and our hearts sank. We spent almost 5 grand to store this stuff? What were we thinking? We had a playpen that our grandson had outgrown, electronics that were outdated, furniture that didn’t fit the new place, and on and on.

Well at least we can sell this stuff and recover something, right? That’s when we found out that used stuff is worth just about nothing. Figure 10% if you’re lucky enough to have something that someone else wants and it’s in like-new condition. So paying to store stuff is a losing game.

We came to a conclusion – if we didn’t use it in 16 months, we probably wouldn’t ever use it. And out it went, clothes, dishes, books we would never read again, you name it. Do I really need 4 bathrobes?

Once we were in our new place in Bonsall we continued to lighten up. We knew we would not be there long term, so our objective was to keep only what we would need. We had to pay movers to move it in and we would have to pay movers to move it out. So more agonizing – that patio set is perfectly good, do we really have to give it away? Are we really ever going to use good China when we have guests or will we use the same plates we always use? How many times are we going to move this stuff around on the chance we might use it one time?

We moved from a 3400 square foot place in Bonsall to 1500 square feet in Oceanside. The downsizing continued. We lived in Bonsall for three months and STILL never used the stuff that we swore we needed when we moved in. So out it went, trash, Goodwill, AmVets (who don’t take furniture), wherever we could get rid of stuff.

It changes your perspective when you realize what stuff costs. You need a bigger house so you can keep more stuff in it. When you move you pay to move it. If you have too much stuff, you pay a storage unit to store it. Why have it in the first place?

So I’m in the store and I see a new gadget that looks awesomely useful. After all, I am oh so practical, I would never buy something just on impulse, I only buy stuff I will really, really use.  I’m looking at this thing on the shelf, should I put it in the cart and take it to the checkout? Should I send another $30 to China and another $3 to the state so this thing can sit in my garage until the day I realize I never used it and it is worth 30 cents now, so I can either throw it out, pay a mover to move it or hurt my back carrying it myself to my next place?

My advice to my fellow downsizers is this: in most cases it’s better to get rid of something than to move it. Let’s say you live back east and you want to bring that heavy dark oak dining room set to your new place in San Diego. It might have cost you 5 thousand originally so that means it’s maybe worth 5 hundred. Moving it here will cost you 5 hundred and when you get it here you will discover that it doesn’t fit. Maybe it physically fits, but it doesn’t fit the lighter décor that is more popular here. So now you will try to sell it, but no one wants it because it isn’t the popular style in southern California. So you could have had $500 if you sold it back east, but instead you paid $500 to move it and now you have to give it away for nothing.

Such is the way of things. I’ve found that it is freeing to live lighter and to not carry everything around. Today I threw out a whole trash bag of telephone cords when we only use cell phones, audio video cables for the TV when now we use HDMI cables, corded mice for the computer when we have wireless mice, and so on. You get the idea. So why do I keep all this stuff until it becomes obsolete and worthless? I guess I still have a lot more to learn.

A listing usually goes through 3 steps:
1.“Active”. This means the property is for sale and no offers have been accepted by the seller yet.
2.“Pending”. This means the buyer and seller have come to an agreement and the property is no longer available for showings or offers. An escrow has been opened.
3.“Sold”. This means that all conditions of the contract have been met and the property has officially changed hands. The new buyer has taken possession and this is also called a closed escrow.

Then there’s the case of a short sale. In this case, the seller owes more to a bank than the property is worth. He’s “short”. For a sale to happen the bank must agree to accept less than what is owed as payment for the loan. They may or may not, but that’s another story.

So the buyer makes an offer and the seller agrees to it. However, the bank hasn’t agreed yet. The offer goes to the bottom of the bank’s pile and it usually takes 2-3 months for the offer to rise to the top of the pile so the bank can decide what to do with it. Escrow hasn’t been opened, so the property isn’t “Pending”. The seller has accepted an offer and the property isn’t available so it isn’t “Active” either. And by the way, once an offer has been submitted to the bank, most agents will not entertain any other offers because this means your offer goes to the bottom of the pile and the 2-3 month waiting period starts all over again.

Because of this “limbo” period, a new status call “Contingent” was created in our local San Diego MLS. Think of it as somewhere between “Active” and “Pending”. And to make this even trickier, most websites don’t know what to do with the “Contingent” status and they show the property as “Active” instead! This is very misleading because you might be seeing 20 homes available when there are really only 5. If you’d rather get the true picture of what’s for sale, send me an email and I can set you up with a free search directly from the San Diego MLS. Problem solved!