About Stuff and Downsizing

I’ve just moved twice in 3 months and I think I’ve learned something about myself. I like to hold onto stuff, it makes me feel like I’ve accomplished something, like I’m in control. But who is controlling who?

When Crystal and I first moved to Idyllwild we stored a bunch of stuff that we knew we wouldn’t need in the mountains, but we thought we’d need when we got back. And it was only going to be for a few months anyway. Well, sixteen months later, we got to see what we paid $310 per month to keep and our hearts sank. We spent almost 5 grand to store this stuff? What were we thinking? We had a playpen that our grandson had outgrown, electronics that were outdated, furniture that didn’t fit the new place, and on and on.

Well at least we can sell this stuff and recover something, right? That’s when we found out that used stuff is worth just about nothing. Figure 10% if you’re lucky enough to have something that someone else wants and it’s in like-new condition. So paying to store stuff is a losing game.

We came to a conclusion – if we didn’t use it in 16 months, we probably wouldn’t ever use it. And out it went, clothes, dishes, books we would never read again, you name it. Do I really need 4 bathrobes?

Once we were in our new place in Bonsall we continued to lighten up. We knew we would not be there long term, so our objective was to keep only what we would need. We had to pay movers to move it in and we would have to pay movers to move it out. So more agonizing – that patio set is perfectly good, do we really have to give it away? Are we really ever going to use good China when we have guests or will we use the same plates we always use? How many times are we going to move this stuff around on the chance we might use it one time?

We moved from a 3400 square foot place in Bonsall to 1500 square feet in Oceanside. The downsizing continued. We lived in Bonsall for three months and STILL never used the stuff that we swore we needed when we moved in. So out it went, trash, Goodwill, AmVets (who don’t take furniture), wherever we could get rid of stuff.

It changes your perspective when you realize what stuff costs. You need a bigger house so you can keep more stuff in it. When you move you pay to move it. If you have too much stuff, you pay a storage unit to store it. Why have it in the first place?

So I’m in the store and I see a new gadget that looks awesomely useful. After all, I am oh so practical, I would never buy something just on impulse, I only buy stuff I will really, really use.  I’m looking at this thing on the shelf, should I put it in the cart and take it to the checkout? Should I send another $30 to China and another $3 to the state so this thing can sit in my garage until the day I realize I never used it and it is worth 30 cents now, so I can either throw it out, pay a mover to move it or hurt my back carrying it myself to my next place?

My advice to my fellow downsizers is this: in most cases it’s better to get rid of something than to move it. Let’s say you live back east and you want to bring that heavy dark oak dining room set to your new place in San Diego. It might have cost you 5 thousand originally so that means it’s maybe worth 5 hundred. Moving it here will cost you 5 hundred and when you get it here you will discover that it doesn’t fit. Maybe it physically fits, but it doesn’t fit the lighter décor that is more popular here. So now you will try to sell it, but no one wants it because it isn’t the popular style in southern California. So you could have had $500 if you sold it back east, but instead you paid $500 to move it and now you have to give it away for nothing.

Such is the way of things. I’ve found that it is freeing to live lighter and to not carry everything around. Today I threw out a whole trash bag of telephone cords when we only use cell phones, audio video cables for the TV when now we use HDMI cables, corded mice for the computer when we have wireless mice, and so on. You get the idea. So why do I keep all this stuff until it becomes obsolete and worthless? I guess I still have a lot more to learn.

What does “Contingent” mean?

You might see “Contingent” or “Cont” as the status on a listing that you saw on a real estate website. What does that mean?

A listing usually goes through 3 steps:
1.“Active”. This means the property is for sale and no offers have been accepted by the seller yet.
2.“Pending”. This means the buyer and seller have come to an agreement and the property is no longer available for showings or offers. An escrow has been opened.
3.“Sold”. This means that all conditions of the contract have been met and the property has officially changed hands. The new buyer has taken possession and this is also called a closed escrow.

Then there’s the case of a short sale. In this case, the seller owes more to a bank than the property is worth. He’s “short”. For a sale to happen the bank must agree to accept less than what is owed as payment for the loan. They may or may not, but that’s another story.

So the buyer makes an offer and the seller agrees to it. However, the bank hasn’t agreed yet. The offer goes to the bottom of the bank’s pile and it usually takes 2-3 months for the offer to rise to the top of the pile so the bank can decide what to do with it. Escrow hasn’t been opened, so the property isn’t “Pending”. The seller has accepted an offer and the property isn’t available so it isn’t “Active” either. And by the way, once an offer has been submitted to the bank, most agents will not entertain any other offers because this means your offer goes to the bottom of the pile and the 2-3 month waiting period starts all over again.

Because of this “limbo” period, a new status call “Contingent” was created in our local San Diego MLS. Think of it as somewhere between “Active” and “Pending”. And to make this even trickier, most websites don’t know what to do with the “Contingent” status and they show the property as “Active” instead! This is very misleading because you might be seeing 20 homes available when there are really only 5. If you’d rather get the true picture of what’s for sale, send me an email and I can set you up with a free search directly from the San Diego MLS. Problem solved!

Van Halen, Brown M&Ms and My Wife

Thanks to Glen Larson [president@genesisft.com] for this inside look at a well-run operation:

“During the 1980′s, Van Halen became “notorious” for having a clause in their tour contract. Pages and pages of details were included in the contract. In the middle of the contract was a clause stating that the band wanted a bowl of M&M’s back stage with ALL THE BROWN M&Ms removed. When I first heard this, my initial response was “what a bunch of spoiled divas”. I had grown up hearing the rumor and decided to verify this.

In David Lee Roth’s autobiography, he confirmed that this rumor was true, but then he shared some interesting details that made me reverse my diva opinion of Van Halen.

Roth mentioned that due to the complexity of the tour (think 9 – 18 wheelers arriving with equipment that had to be set up correctly at each venue). The complexity of setting up each show meant there was a much greater chance for technical mistakes that could turn a successful concert into a disaster. They, for example, stated that “There will be 15 amperage voltage sockets at 20 foot spaces, evenly, providing 19 amperes.”

The band had buried in the contract, section 126 the following: “There will be no brown M&Ms in the backstage area, upon pain of forfeiture of the show, with full compensation”.

When Roth arrived at each new venue, he immediately would go back stage to see if the M&Ms were there and to see if the brown M&Ms were removed. If he found brown M&Ms, he would immediately demand a line check of the entire setup. He often stated that it “Guaranteed, you’re going to arrive at a technical error”.

Turns out the band members of Van Halen weren’t being divas after all. They had discovered a quick and easy monitoring method to see how close the promoter was paying attention to the small details. They didn’t have time to go through and check every socket, plug or wire, but all these small details were significant for a successful concert. Their success was in the small details.”

The complexity of the Van Halen tour reminded me of the complexity of a San Diego real estate transaction. So many different players, laws changing all the time, banks in turmoil, and all it takes is one misstep to have a failed transaction. It really takes someone who has a super “attention to detail” personality to pull it off. That’s why I’m so thankful for my wife Crystal, who oversees each transaction like a hawk. Nothing catches her by surprise, all the small details are covered, and the result is smooth, hassle-free closings. That’s why our clients say, “Thanks for all your hard work, you two make a great team!”

Senior Communities in San Diego

A strange price reversal has happened at one of the 55+ communities in San Diego, creating a great opportunity if that’s what you’re looking for.

Normally homes in Emerald Lake (http://www.seniorsandiego.com/Emerald.html) sell in the mid $200K range and homes in Pacifica (http://www.seniorsandiego.com/Pacifica.html) sell in the high $200K range. This is because Pacifica homes are site built and Emerald Lake are manufactured homes. But recently, there has been an unusual amount of homes for sale in Pacifica and a shortage of homes for sale in Emerald Lake. This has caused the prices in Pacifica to fall below the prices of homes in Emerald Like, as situation I haven’t seen in 20 years of working these communities.

If you have your eye on living in coastal San Diego County in a nice neighborhood for the $200s price range, you have 3 choices – Emerald Lake, Pacifica or Las Brisas (http://www.seniorsandiego.com/LasBrisas.html). And usually the manufactured homes in Las Brisas or Emerald Lake are priced less than the stick-built homes in Pacifica. But right now you can buy in Pacifica for less than manufactured home prices.

I don’t know how long this price inversion will last, but if you’re considering senior communities in San Diego, Pacifica is very attractive right now.

To see all of the senior communities in San Diego, visit http://www.SeniorSanDiego.com.

Stuck

The current downturn in the real estate market has affected all of us, and many find themselves “stuck” in a place they didn’t want to be for long. Like the person I talked with today who is in Arizona and now has no equity in her house. She can’t sell without writing a check, and even if she did, there would be no downpayment to buy a place in a better climate (like San Diego). Stuck.

Or like the guy who owns raw land and intended to build on it. It now costs more to build then the house is worth when it is done, so he’s stuck. And the tax bills keep coming anyway.

Getting “unstuck” depends a lot on your view of the future. If you think this downturn is an aberration and prices will recover to 2006 levels soon, then perhaps it makes sense to just wait it out. But if that doesn’t happen, what is your plan B?

Life goes on. The family gets larger or smaller and jobs change. Maybe re-thinking your housing needs can make everything work better. There might be ways to get yourself in a better position that you don’t know about.

I talk with people every day who have seen dramatic changes in their financial life, in their careers, and in their families. I have 20 years of experience helping people who are trying to better themselves and I’ve seen all kinds of creative solutions. Maybe, just maybe, I might have an idea or two that can help you. So give me a call, what do you have to lose?

A Lesson From The Great Recession

A house is a home, not an ATM. We might have lost sight of this during the last boom, but it sure is front and center nowadays. While we all hope to see appreciation in our real estate, we can’t count on it. That has a very profound impact on which house you decide to buy.

A home, after all, is more than just crown moldings, copper wiring, and bay windows—it’s a sense of place, of community and of comfort. It matches who you are and fits seamlessly within your daily life. It’s a reflection of who you are.

As an agent, my job is all about people. Real estate is one of the last industries that cannot be automated. A home, neighborhood and community can never be quantified into ones and zeros. It’s my job as an agent to be the expert of my area, and to make sure that I put the people I’m serving ahead of everything else.

Serving you well these days means making sure that I give great customer service by matching homes with your lifestle. You can’t just buy any house and think that if it doesn’t work out you can always sell it at a profit. Those days are over for awhile.

A good agent will ask you a lot of questions about you to make sure the home is a good fit. Make sure you have an agent who isn’t just trying to make a sale, but really “gets it” – this is going to be your home for the forseeable future, and it should match how you want to live.

Why Zillow is Often Wrong

Sometimes I hear crazy numbers from clients about their home’s value. The reason? “Zillow says…”

But even Zillow admits that their Zestimate is an approximation. Consider this description of their valuation model, taken from the Zillow website itself:

“The Zestimate (pronounced ZEST-ti-met, rhymes with estimate) home valuation is Zillow’s estimated market value, computed using a proprietary formula. It is not an appraisal. It is a starting point in determining a home’s value. The Zestimate is pulled from data; your real estate agent or appraiser physically inspects the home and takes special features, location, and market conditions into account. Variations in price also occur because of negotiating factors, closing costs, and timing of closing. We encourage buyers, sellers, and homeowners to supplement Zillow’s information by doing other research such as:

* Getting a Comparative Market Analysis (CMA) from a real estate agent

* Getting an appraisal from a professional appraiser

* Visiting the house (whenever possible)

* Creating your own estimate using the My Estimator home valuation tool”

So even Zillow admits that their Zestimate is only “a starting point in determining your home’s value.” They do not know about the granite countertops, view, or other factors that affect your home’s desirability. And desirablity does not fit into a mathematical formula. It takes someone who is actively working in the marketplace to accurately value your home, a computer just can’t do it.

The Problem With Condos

If you’re thinking about buying a condo, you should be aware that FHA has tightened their requirements for condo approval. That means that a condo association must be well-run before they will make a loan in that community. Some of the new guidelines are:

–All units and common elements must be completely built.

–No single entity can own more than 10 percent or more than one of the units, whichever is greater.

–At least 50 percent of the units must be owner-occupied.

–No more than 15 percent of the units can be more than 30 days delinquent on assessments.

–No more than 25 percent of the total floor area can be used commercially.

–At least 10 percent of the annual budget must go to reserves.

Now this is a good thing if you’re buying a condo FHA, because it gives you some security that the association is sound. But if investors are buying up condos in the community, the owner occupancy rate can drop below 50% after you buy it. Or more than 15% of your fellow condo owners could become late with their HOA payments. That means when you go to sell in the future, FHA will not approve loans in that community and your pool of potential buyers has just shrunk, resulting in a lower selling price. (!)

It’s risky to buy something where the value can drop because of something you can’t control. Nevertheless, if you’re determined to buy a condo, consider the following points resommended by RISMEDIA:

“7 Questions to Ask Before Buying a Condo”
RISMEDIA, May 21, 2010–You’ve found your dream condo, and you’re ready to relax among the mango trees and swaying date palms. Hold everything. To keep from getting stuck with a lemon, you’ve got to do some homework. Here are the seven most important questions you need to ask before buying a condo.

1. “What’s the Beef?”
Take a look at the minutes of the condo association board meetings to see what the owners have been griping about. If everyone was complaining about the faulty plumbing or the gardener’s absence, you know that the complex is having management difficulties. Even if there aren’t any complaints, reading the minutes will reveal the sorts of projects that are under way at the complex — projects the seller may have neglected to mention.

2. “Who’s Been Naughty and Who’s Been Nice?”
Find out the delinquency rates of present owners. If people aren’t paying their association dues on time, that is either a sign of discontent or an indication that the association might be underfunded.

3. “How Much Is In the Repair Fund?”
Ask if the community has done a reserve-fund review in the past five years. Lester Giese, the author of The 99 Best Residential & Recreational Communities in America, recommends the following formula: If the complex is one to 10 years old, the reserve fund should have 10% of the cost of replaceable items (roofs, roads, tennis courts, etc.). Between 10 and 20 years old, the repair fund should be at 25% to 30%. At 20 years, that amount should be 50% or above. Residents who brag that they don’t pay much in maintenance may be in a complex that either is not being kept up well or is living beyond its means.

4. “Can You Cover Me?”
If you look at nothing else, get a copy of the certificate of insurance, which is a summary of the association’s policy. First see if the replacement costs covered by the policy are an accurate estimate of the cost of rebuilding. Then make sure that the policy has a building-ordinance clause, which means that the insurance will cover the cost of bringing the building up to code if there is any rebuilding to be done. On older buildings, there may have been many code upgrades since the time of construction. Finally, make sure that you understand exactly what the association policy covers and what you are responsible for. The smart condo owner will insure his or her personal belongings, along with any other items within the unit that are not covered by the association’s policy. If you have trouble understanding the insurance lingo, take the insurance certificate to an agent whom you trust and who understands the state laws.

5. “Does the Association Present Any Legal Problems?”
Buying a single-family home without a lawyer is no big deal for many people. But with a condo, there’s so much more involved. Contact a local real estate lawyer and have him or her go over the bylaws of the association. Do they make sense? Are they consistent with the state laws? Giese, the author, once found that the association bylaws of a large garden-style condo complex had been lifted from the books of a high-rise condo, leaving confused tenants with rules about shared hallway space and the correct use of garbage chutes. Benny Kass, a Washington real estate attorney, recommends that you also have your lawyer screen the association at the local courthouse, to see if any owners have filed suit against it.

6. “Is the Complex Renter-Friendly?”
If the renter population is over 10%, there should be clear rental policies, either listed in the bylaws or tacked on as an amendment. Does the management company find renters for you? If so, do they get enough good renters? Ask other tenants about their experience. In addition, ask to see the association’s rental lease, and have a real estate lawyer look it over. Keep one thing in mind, though: An association can change its bylaws to prohibit or restrict renting at any time. The more owners who rent, the less chance that will happen.

7. “Am I My Community’s Keeper?”
Watch out for a condo whose owners manage the place themselves. Although many are operated efficiently, self-management can lead to more hassles for owners — especially those who live thousands of miles away. If the complex is professionally managed, check out the management company as thoroughly as you check out the association. Ask other owners. Ask people in nearby buildings. And be sure to interview the day-to-day manager directly. If you hook up with a bad manager, you can be sure of this: Your dream condo will keep you up at night.

7 Great Customer Service Words

While we were in Victorville working on a rental property, we stayed at the Hilton Garden Inn. Crystal pointed out that there were no napkins to go with the cookies and the employee behind the counter said “Thanks for bringing that to my attention.” Wow! How refreshing that was!

Most of the time we’re dealing with utility companies or government agencies, or banks, or other so-called “service” companies and all we ever get is “That’s our policy sir.” As if putting “sir” on the end makes it polite, and shows how they have such excellent their customer service. Why not tell it like it is? “I don’t care about your problem, so you can just drop dead, sir.” The attitude of most people on the front line with the customer is appalling. “I get a paycheck on Friday whether I help you or not, so I’m not going to help you, sir.” Sure gives you a bad opinion about that company and tells you what they really think about their customers. How much better is it for your business to take responsibility for fixing something that’s wrong and make a friend at the same time?

We’re going back to Victorville this weekend and I know we’ll be staying at the Hilton Garden Inn.

Investors Back in the Market, Cash is King

Investors are back in the market, and they’re paying all-cash, mostly for property under $500,000. The effect is to freeze out first-time home-buyers who need a loan. Banks are still chary about providing loans. About the only loans left for first-time buyers are FHA and VA loans.

So, while the first-time buyer is working through the loan process, the investors are swooping in and buying the best property, which, after making minor repairs, they are putting back on the market. Sometimes, they rent out the property hoping for more appreciation down the road.

Appraisals are also affecting buyers who need a loan. Appraisals lag the market because they use past data, typically six months worth, to calculate current market value. When a market has bottomed out and begins rising, appraisals often come in under the value agreed upon by the buyer and seller. Banks are requiring buyers to come up with extra cash to make up the difference. First time buyers are having a hard time doing this, so we’re seeing many more sales fall out of escrow than normal.

Another thing hanging over the market is the so-called “shadow inventory” of bank-owned property that has not been put on sale. How many properties the banks are holding is a mystery, but, they may not be accumulating as many as the pundits believe. Large investing companies are buying multiple properties at the foreclosure auctions. The banks have finally realized it’s better to take their losses there rather than go through the time and expense of re-habbing and putting the properties on the market..

Home and pending sales were down in January, which is not unusual at this time of year.

The decline in sales is not a result of reduced demand, we are seeing multiple offers on the best properties in the best neighborhoods, rather it was produced by a lack of inventory, or should I say, a lack of desirable inventory.

We expect sales to regain their momentum through the Spring because of the extended tax credit and because this is historically the prime time for home sales. After that, all bets are off.

Remember, the real estate market is a matter of neighborhoods and houses. No two are the same. For complete information on a particular neighborhood or property, call me.

P.S. The FHA requires all condo projects to be re-certified before they will make a loan. To find out if the condo project you’re interested in is eligible, go here: https://entp.hud.gov/idapp/html/condlook.cfm